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2 days ago · Download the data. Download. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability,...
Jun 11, 2024 · 538’s forecast is based on a combination of polls and campaign “fundamentals,” such as economic conditions, state partisanship and incumbency. It’s not meant to “call” a winner, but rather to...
Jul 12, 2024 · 538 uses statistical analysis — hard numbers — to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, economics, and American society.
FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society.
Jun 8, 2021 · I realize there might not be too much appetite for reading about 2020 forecasts now that it’s June 2021, but let’s start with the major takeaways, which are fairly straightforward this year ...
538, originally rendered as FiveThirtyEight, is an American website that focused on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging in the United States. Founder Nate Silver left in 2023, taking the rights to his forecasting model with him to his website Silver Bulletin.
Nov 3, 2020 · FiveThirtyEight has issued its final presidential forecast. There hasn’t been a lot of change over the past 24 or 48 hours, as most of the late polling either c….
Feb 9, 2018 · Our Data. We’re sharing the data and code behind some of our articles and graphics. We hope you’ll use it to check our work and to create stories and visualizations of your own. Get more...
Jul 9, 2024 · 538 Photo Illustration. Yet our forecast for the 2024 election has moved very little. On debate day, we gave Biden a 50-out-of-100 chance of winning the majority of Electoral College votes. That ...
3 days ago · Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501 (c) (4), 501 (c) (5) or 501 (c) (6) organization that...
